Posts Tagged ‘UEFA’

Time to Protest

Monday, November 26th, 2012

Dear Friends and Colleagues,

A very bad flu hit me over the last few weeks. Only now, after some great care at Brock University where I was a visiting scholar, am I slowly staggering back to my feet.

I will pick up the series ‘The Sports Corruption Industry and the Great Cover Up’ very soon. However, for the moment, I wanted to offer my support to the Turkish supporters who protested at Nyon appealing for UEFA to give more help in the clean-up of Turkish football.

A quick review, it is very difficult to overstate the depths of corruption in Turkish football: it is even more difficult to overstate how badly the Turkish football authorities have bent over backwards to excuse the fixing; and it is even more difficult to understand how anyone could regard Turkish domestic football with any credibility.

There are various fan groups – some independent, some linked to clubs – who are appealing for stricter sanctions against corruption and jail sentences for the people who have been convicted of fixing or attempting to fix matches. This weekend, a group connected to Trabzonspor protested in front of UEFA’s headquarters. I do not support Trabzonspor, in any way. I do not think they should be given the league championship title. I think that the title should be forever marked as ‘not awarded’ as a symbol of how bad corruption has become in Turkish football. However, I do want to say that I support any credible efforts to clean up Turkish football. The sport in that country has gone from an embarrassment to a scandal to, now, a very bad joke.

By the way, if any Western Europeans are reading this blog and feeling a little smug. I assure you that many European sports officials treat fixing and corruption in exactly the same way. Take a look at the ‘sentences’ handed out to some players and coaches in Italy for fixing games. Some of those people would be out of the game longer if they had pulled their hamstrings then aided a fixed match. You can see that we are entering a stage, in some leagues, of endemic corruption. It may be time for football fans across Europe to start imitating their Turkish colleagues and protest about the levels of corruption that are in our beloved sport.

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Fixing at the European Championship – Good news and Bad…

Sunday, June 17th, 2012

It is that time again. The inbox is starting to fill up with the conspiracy theorists and the simply curious wanting to know if/when and who might be fixing in the Euro tournament. Certainly, it is the right time for the fixes: the third sequence of games in the opening round of a major international football tournament. The time when if fixes were to occur they would be starting now. I saw this when the fixers were discussing their tactics at the World Cup. This is when they approach players with a variation of Bernard Tapie’s immortal line, ‘You are going to lose anyway, why don’t you lose with 30,000 Francs in your pocket.’

Here is the good news. I do not think there will be fixing at these European Championships. (At least not of the kind that I know – where players are motivated for profit on the sports gambling market. There may be the usual, run-of-the-mill arrangements when it may benefit both teams to draw the match to advance to the quarter-finals and the pace of the match slows down and few shots are taken. However, I have no inside knowledge about those possible fixes).

Here is why I write those words.

First, I never heard any of the fixers claiming that they could fix the Euros. They spoke openly about corrupting the Olympic soccer tournament and the World Cup tournaments at various levels, but never the European Championship.

Second, the current structure of the tournaments counts against any corruption. There are sixteen teams, of which eight (at least at the beginning of the tournament) had a genuinely good chance of winning the whole thing – France, England, Spain, Italy, Germany, Netherlands, Portugal and Russia. There are half-a-dozen other teams – Czech Republic, Sweden, Denmark, Croatia, Ukraine and Poland – who on their day could beat any of the favourites and of the final two teams – Greece and Ireland – one of them has won the whole tournament recently enough for their players to have some hope, no matter how unlikely, in their hearts of winning.

Three, most of the federations who run those teams are relatively honest. The open door to corruption in international football is a federation who will not pay their players for playing in a major tournament. One can argue the general direction of most European associations, but most of the time they can get the basics done, which is more than can be said for most African sporting federations who generally regard their athletes as bodies to be fleeced rather than serious professionals.

Here is the bad news.

We are actually at a stage where people are beginning to speak as if this were a regular or normal thing – fixing major tournaments. Five years ago, no one would have contemplated a major tournament being fixed. In that five years of learning, no single sporting agency has taken the threat seriously enough to do anything credible – over the long-term – about it.

Two, I think that there will be no fixing because the players want to win. I do not think there will be no fixing because UEFA is doing a good job of guarding the game. Their chief integrity officer is now going the way of Chris Eaton and the half-a-dozen other purported anti-corruption fighters who have shuffled across the sporting stage, said the right things, and then faded into comfortable oblivion.

The people who are replacing this first wave of supposed anti-corruption fighters would make a dispassionate fan raise their eyebrows. It is the Qataris who are banging a drum loudly in the sports movement to try to claim the mantle of anti-corruption experts. The Qataris?! Yes, after the publicity debacle of their winning the rights to host the World Cup 2022, they have set up a bizarre group called the International Centre for Sport Security. Here at the Euros one of their people has been put in place as a security leader. The Qatari group is full of superannuated ex-policemen and odd marginal sports figures. I believe, at this moment, the group is more a patina for the Qataris to pretend to be doing something credible against corruption, which will then spread across the sports movement, so the entire set of sports officials can pretend to be doing something credible against corruption. I hope I am wrong. I hope they come out in the next few months with genuine evidence that they are seriously fighting corruption in sport. I do not think they will and it means that in the long-run that the fixers will have much more fruitful opportunities.

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Lyon and Zagreb

Thursday, December 8th, 2011

December 8, 2011:   For those who missed it last night’s final round of Champions League matches featured a bizarre game between Olympique Lyonnais (OL) and Dinamo Zagreb.   OL needed to win by a large margin of goals to qualify for the next round of the Champions League. They duly won the game by a score of 7 to 1.   Today’s European newspapers – particularly in the Netherlands – are full of speculation about the match.  The following are my comments about questions I have been asked on the match and its circumstances:

Do you have any specific knowledge about last night’s match between Olympique Lyonnais and Dinamo Zagreb?

No.

Is it perfectly reasonably for a football fan to ask whether a fix occurred at last night’s Olympique Lyonnais versus Dinamo Zagreb match?

Yes, of course.  Any fair-minded person could be suspicious.  The Croatian football world has had a long history of corruption.  The Sapina Brothers who organized a match-fixing ring across Europe and many of their top conspirators are Croatian.  The Croatian police are aware of this issue and have launched a national investigation.  Twenty years ago, French football officials like Bernard Tapie and Jean-Claude Bins routinely fixed European Cup matches.  Two years ago, UEFA (the organization in charge of the Champions League)  the officials themesleves, claimed that up to fifty Champions League matches in the last five years may have been fixed.  This is not to say that a fix did occur, but it is perfectly reasonable to be suspicious given the track record.

Would the gambling market have shown that a fix was occurring?

No.  People are insinuating that a fix occurred between team officials for OL to qualify to the next round of the Champions League.  I have no idea if such a thing happened.  However, this type of fix has nothing to do with the gambling market and therefore would not necessarily have shown up on the market.  Two, OL was the favourite to win the match therefore the markets would have been slower to pick up on a lot of money being punted for OL to win.

Could Football officials be doing more to ensure that a fix did not take place?

Yes.   UEFA, for all practical purposes, still does not have a credible integrity unit.  UEFA is the best football organization on the planet for taking this problem seriously.   However, three years after the establishment of their integrity unit they still, largely, rely on the monitoring of the betting markets, which as I explained above, is in this case practically useless for verifying if a fix occurred.    They need to get more former police officers who can walk into a player’s dressing room and instil fear in the players, before their unit will be complete.

The French Football Federation does not have an integrity unit.  They need to get one into place quickly or this wonderful tournament will suffer from more doubt about its integrity.

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70,000 Copies of the ‘The Fix’ and the Prosecutor Who is Cleaning the Stables

Saturday, July 2nd, 2011

If you speak Greek and want a free copy of ‘The Fix’ – get to Athens this weekend. There, one of the top newspapers Ethnos is featuring a full-feature interview with me and giving away copies of the book for the first 70,000 people who buy the newspaper.

This is all happening because last Wednesday, just before I was to testify at the Council of Europe in Strasbourg, a young, dynamic, female prosecutor Popi Papandreou did what few men in Greek sports would have done and arrested 68 top football officials including the President of the Greek Super-League and head of the Olympiakos. She arrested them because she accused them of sustained and systematic match-fixing and corruption.

A brief explanation for non-Greeks – this is like arresting the head of the Premier League and Manchester United, dozens of players and other senior football officials in one swoop. It is a massive hammer blow against corruption. It is the cleaning of the Augean stables of Greek sport. Now of course, some of the people arrested will be found innocent, but Ms. Papandreou was backed, not only by the Greek state police but also by their national secret service. She had led this law enforcement team for 10-months and they produced a 124-page prosecution report to justify the arrests. And at the beginning of that report, Ms. Papendrou was kind enough to declare that ‘The Fix’ had been her intellectual guide to follow the trails of corruption in Greek sport.

Since the release of the prosecution report, I have been overwhelmed with requests from Greek media and this is why the complete copies of ‘The Fix’ are to be issued in a special edition of ‘Ethnos’. However, below is an excerpt from one of those interviews (in English) and for Greek speakers a link is here to another:

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1) Are you surprised that Greece is so much involved in a case like this? If not, why?

Not particularly, Greek football has been renown for corruption for a long time.

2) Do you remember when it was the first time that you heard of Greece and set up games?

It was very commonplace to hear about fixed matches in Greek football. When I spoke to the fixers they discussed the sport in your country as if were the Balkans, a lawless place where the criminals ran the place and the good men were kept in the ditches.

3) Were you anxious by the fact that until now nothing had happened in Greece from the authorities?

I was not surprised that nothing had been done by the authorities. But I am now delighted that finally someone is standing up for Greek sports and showing courage to defend the future for your young people.

4) Could you remember a specific name of person or team that you heard during your research in Asia or in any other place?

The main focus of my research and my book was infiltrating a gang of fixers who travel to every single big international soccer tournament – the under-17 World Cup, the under-20 World Cup, the Women’s World Cup, the Olympic soccer tournament and the World Cup itself.

They have approached dozens of teams and hundreds of players and referees over the last twenty years. I got into the gang. I wore a hidden camera and taped some of their meetings. Then I exposed their activities in the book. So I could not spare any time to focus on any other leagues or matches, including Greece.

However, I do know that the fixers were at the Athens Olympics in 2004 and were approaching players and paying them. This has been confirmed not only by the fixers but by players and coaches at the tournament. It is all in the book.

5) All over he world, almost every day, we are informed for set up games… Is there a solution for that very big problem of sports?

Match-fixing is the biggest problem for sport. Once it loses credibility it is very difficult to regain it.

However, there are lots of ways to defend against corruption in sport. Ironically, it is very easy because corruption in sports happens right in front of people, unlike most corruption which occurs in locked rooms.

What we need now is an international anti-corruption agency, like the World Anti-Doping Agency (WADA), to fight against this international problem.

6) Do you consider Greece as one of the most corrupted country all over the world in sports?

Gosh no! The corruption in Greek sports may be quite bad (and remember some of the people who were arrested may be found innocent), however, it is nothing like the level of corruption in the Asian countries. There the politicians describe levels of corruption of over fifty percent of the matches being fixed. So it is more normal for a fan to see a fixed match than a normally played match.

Greece is bad, but it has not reached anywhere near those levels.

7) I would like to describe me your feelings by the time that those men of the Chinese betting baron, approached you, transferred you in front of him till the end? It was scary I suppose, but could you describe those feelings with words? And finally why did he do that with you? It was a power festival for him?

I remember the first time I met one of the fixers, it was at a private golf course late at night. He was on the phone getting information about fixes in a number different countries (including a possible one in the German Bundesliga). I was both terrified and fascinated. Finally, after an hour of conversation, I asked, ‘What is the biggest game you have ever fixed?’

He looked at me and said, ‘I don’t know. Which is bigger the Olympics or the World Cup?’

I told him, very, very politely, that I did not believe that he could fix a match at such a high-level and he said, ‘Alright, watch me.’

This is the essential story of ‘The Fix’. How for the next few months I watched them as they held meetings to fix really top-level games.

8 ) Do you have an opinion about basketball… Is it corrupted as football?

I try not to speculate about sports when I do not have all the facts. What I say is controversial enough, so I need to guard my credibility and only speak about sports that I am an expert on.

9) What is the key point to set up a game? What is the procedure,  I mean the way to do it? Players? Coaches? Presidents? Referees?

Imagine, that a fixer is like a spider in the centre of his web. The net goes in two directions, the first, is obviously into the sport – to players and referees, and sometimes club owners – to underperform and thus, lose their games. However, there is a second direction, that is into the gambling market. Good fixers have to hide their activities in the market otherwise the fix is too obvious. They employ companies and other people to disguise their fixing.

What does this mean in real life? Well, one of the myths about fixing is that it is always the strong team losing to a weak team and thus the fixer makes a big profit on the market. Actually, it is much more common for a fixer to fix a weak team playing against a strong team. Generally, weak teams are badly paid, so the players or club owners are cheaper. Generally, no one suspects anything if the weak team loses, so the odds in the market do not change. And generally, because it is cheap and no one has noticed you can fix these teams for years and get away with it.

10) Do you still research for the illegal betting mafia?

Yes, everyday I get tips and do interviews. It is a huge problem all over the world.

11) Would you like to send a message to our Greek Attorney, Ms Papandreou (32 years old only) who took over the case and did what many men attorneys never wanted or could, do?

She is a hero and should be congratulated by everyone who cares about Greek sport.

12) I know that one very close youth friend of yours was Greek? Could you describe me please what is the picture that you have for Greeks and if you could marry your picture with the fact that Greece is so much involved in illegal betting?  

My best friend in High School was Greek. I visited Argos several times to see his family there. My Greek friends are honest, decent people who treated me like a second son. In those days they did not have a lot of money, but they gave me food, took me the hospital when I was sick and were very kind to me. I would not like to make any comparisons with them and the world of illegal gambling.

13) What do you thing is the best punishment for people who are arrested? Besides jail, sports punishments if their teams it’s necessary?

The people who fix matches should be banned for life from sport, no exceptions, no omissions. And we should take the time to explain to young players what a lifetime ban means – i.e,: they cannot even coach their children’s teams when they are playing in a match twenty-years on. Life means life. And a ban from all football means a ban from all, even amateur level, matches.

14) Would you recommend to  UEFA, banning all Greek teams from European tournaments?

No, I would not. I think that Greece should be praised for trying to take on corruption. If the teams and leagues, give up the people who may have been involved in corruption, than I think they should be allowed to play in Europe and show to the world what Greece can do, when it is not hamstrung with corruption.

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Stay tuned. In a few days, a report on what it is like inside the political and bureaucratic halls of power as the fight gears up against match-fixing.

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Some Good News For a Change!

Tuesday, March 22nd, 2011

Excellent idea! It is unusual that I give – almost – unqualified praise to a football association – but UEFA’s current proposal of having a network of integrity officers in each’s of its member football associations to cooperate together to fight corruption in football is brilliant. Full kudos to Platini and his team. He has given great leadership to European football in its fight against match-fixing.

In the next few weeks- months, we should, as football journalists and fans, monitor how-when UEFA implements the idea to make sure it is not a publicity exercise.

A few questions then to ask:

Who the various integrity officers will be?
What experience do they have in fighting sports corruption?
Have they ever met a fixer?
What will they do if/when they discover that a UEFA official is corrupt? Who will they report this information to?
What will they do if/when they discover a member of their own football association is corrupt? Who will they report this information to?
Who will pay for the integrity officers: gambling companies? TV money? UEFA?

If they can answer these questions satisfactorily, we may see a really important anti-corruption tool in place.

Later this week, how we should not take FIFA’s match-fixing seminar (March 25-26) too seriously.

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So what are they actually doing?

Friday, November 27th, 2009

This continues to be the best news in football for years. Full congratulations to the German police and UEFA.

However, one question has to be answered: what are the national football associations actually going to do about corruption?

You can see them now, in their press conferences and statements to the press, jostling around trying to escape doing anything about match-corruption. ‘We did not know anything about all this match-fixing going on in our leagues! We are completely surprised! (Really? I did. I even wrote a book about it. Why didn’t you read it?) Nothing we can do,’ they say, ‘We do not want to upset an on-going investigation. This is beyond our expertise. We are football administrators, not policemen.’ Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. It is all crap.

They can do something about match-fixing; they should do something about match-fixing and they must do something about match-fixing.

Here are a few suggestions:

1) More integrity units.

Every Football Association in the world should have an integrity unit staffed with honest ex-policemen, gambling experts and football insiders. It is not possible for the unit in UEFA alone to do all the work. Football Associations run national industries worth, in some cases, billions of dollars. It beggars belief that they do not have their own security units. Can you imagine a similar sized Fortune 500 Company not having an internal security unit? No, of course not.

  1. A proper system of reporting corrupt approaches.

Imagine – you are professional football player in some European league. A criminal approaches you to fix a game. What do you do now? Who do you report it to? Especially, as the corruptors are really, really good at this type of approach. They know what to say. And usually, they will say something that isolates a player from the rest of the team, ‘You do know that your coach is on our payroll.’ Or ‘We control your team owner. He gets his cash from us.’ In the best case, these kind of statements are untrue but they put doubt in a player’s mind. In many cases, they are actually true and remind the player that if tells anyone he may face some very serious consequences.

What to do? Establish an independent security unit with a hotline telephone number that every player and coach knows they must call if approached to fix. This is what the Danish Football Association has done.

  1. Pro-active reporting.

This is the rule in professional tennis. If a player is approached by a corruptor they must report the incident. The fixers have to know that every time they approach players they are at risk of being turned in.

There are dozens more ways of prevent more fixing. Watch in the next few weeks to see if the football associations are actually doing anything concrete. Until you see any reforms take place, you will know that all the words of the national associations are exactly that – words – and once this current scandal is over corruption will creep back into the game.

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I told you so

Friday, November 20th, 2009

This is superb news. Finally, a proper, well-resourced investigation into corruption in match-fixing in European football. The UEFA investigation unit was started, partly, because of the book. Certainly, I was flown to Geneva to speak to officials about the structure of the organization. Now, I am very pleased to see that it has produced such strong results. Great, great news.

I have two hopes for the outcome of the investigation:

  1. There have been a number of other investigations into match-fixing that have started with lots of publicity, strong calls of a major clean-up and multiple arrests: Portugal – the Pinto da Costa case, Germany – the Hoyzer case, France – the Tapie case. Then the authorities find one person, dump all the cases onto them and construct ‘conspiracies of one’ rather than uprooting the essential corrupt structure within the game. Journalists and fans should stay on top of this case, to ensure that this does not happen again.

  1. When the convictions happen, the authorities should make sure that the penalties are the harshest possible. There should be a clear signal sent out to the players, referees and officials that this will not be tolerated in the sport that we love.

FRANKFURT (AP) — German police have arrested an undisclosed number of people suspected of fixing matches in major European soccer leagues.
The arrests, in Germany and abroad, came as part of an investigation into match-fixing supported by UEFA, according to a statement by the prosecutor’s office in Bochum.
A Berlin newspaper reported that a Croatian man convicted as the mastermind of a German match-fixing scandal in 2005 was among those arrested Thursday. The Berliner Morgenpost’s online edition said Ante Sapina and his brother were among five people arrested in Berlin and that 15 arrest warrants in 10 countrties had been issued.
The investigation has been under way since the beginning of the year and targeted an international gang suspected of wide-ranging match-fixing.
The gang is suspected of bribing players, coaches, referees and officials in “high-ranking European leagues” to manipulate games in order to make money on betting, the statement said Thursday.
It said raids were conducted in Germany and Europe on Thursday and a large number of arrests were made. A news conference is scheduled for Friday in Bochum.
UEFA said it was aware of Thursday’s arrests, adding that it had been “working closely with German authorities through its betting fraud detection system for monitoring irregular betting patterns.”
The Morgenpost reported that games in the Turkish top division were suspected of being manipulated and that the probe by Bochum investigators targeted 200 people. Top players in Turkey are among the suspects, the newspaper said.
Quoting Berlin security sources, the newspaper said the gang apparently operated from Germany and its boss apparently lived in Berlin.
Ante Sapina was convicted of fraud in 2005 and sentenced to 35 months in prison for fixing or attempting to fix 23 games by paying German referee Robert Hoyzer to rig matches Sapina and his brothers bet on. Ante Sapina’s brothers Milan and Filip were given suspended sentences.
Hoyzer was convicted of fraud and sentenced to 29 months in prison after admitting he had manipulated games mostly in German lower divisions on behalf of the three brothers, who made millions by betting on the games.
UEFA said two months ago it was investigating 40 cases of suspected match-fixing in the Champions League and UEFA Cup, mostly involving eastern European clubs. The matches under investigation were early qualifying games that took place over the last four seasons.
UEFA has beefed up its efforts to protect against illegal betting and match-fixing. President Michel Platini has described those issues as the greatest problem facing European soccer.
The detection system monitors all top two divisions across Europe and domestic cup games.

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Match-Fixing and English Sports Journalists

Saturday, October 3rd, 2009

I am on another research trip, so for all the media people who are contacting me for comments about either the alleged fix in the lower Scottish divisions or the announcement that UEFA is investigating a possible 40 fixed matches in the Champions League:

1)I told you so.

2)You haven’t seen anything yet. It is only going to get worse.

Lots of interviews from places like Sweden, South Korea, Belgium.  The journalists invariably have a question like, “But these incidents are happening in such lowly matches, that we don’t even care about them! They are in the semi-regional third division games.”   Listen, the gambling market is so huge that there is a way of profiting on almost any match.  The lower the level of the match the easier it is to fix.  10,000 euros, pounds or dollars can buy a lot of influence very quickly in those leagues.

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As the UK reels from yet another controversy of odd bet movements, some football fans may stop and wonder why they had not heard of these issues before.  Indeed all football fans should stop and ask the media why they have not heard of the dangers of match-corruption before now.  I have been speaking about the dangers since 2005, the book has been out on the market for over a year.  It is a best-seller in Canada, Germany, France and a number of other countries.  Yet, there is not much publicity in the UK.    The book explains how the illegal gambling market works, it shows how the fixes are performed, it identifies a number of top international matches that I believe were corrupted.  I even outline how the sport that we all love can be protected.

A small indication of why English sports journalism is, generally, so bad was given by a recent article by Patrick Barclay of the Times.  He writes of an interview twelve years ago with the then England and Arsenal striker Ian Wright.  In the interview, Wright basically said that he would fall down for his country or fake a penalty if he were playing for England.  After the interview Barclay writes:

…as part of a group of Sunday-paper journalists who had interviewed him [Wright] after training at Bisham Abbey, I looked forward to publishing his views. That was until my colleagues were approached by the FA press department and agreed, after a near-unanimous vote, to suppress the supposedly explosive material. In such circumstances, you don’t break ranks, but to this day I feel guilty about selling the readers short. Or, as you might say, cheating them.

Ummm… it is called collusion. It is called complicity. It is called cowardly. It is called a lot of other things, but it is not journalism.    And remember Patrick Barclay is one of the best journalists. He, at least, has the decency to feel badly.  He, at least, had the decency to vote against a cover-up.  The rest of these little creeps actually voted for censorship.  These purported professionals working for rival news organizations all got together and agreed not to print news because an official asked them not to.   There was no higher moral purpose, no grieving relative, no hapless kidnap victim to protect, just a whole lot of inappropriate chumminess.

This kind of deliberate inaptitude extends to English sports journalists’ attempts to cover corruption. First, most of them are not competent enough to do the necessary journalism. Second, they have no wish to find out about possible corruption.  And third, if they did stumble upon corruption (Hint: try interviewing a player by yourself. You might be surprised at what they tell you.) they would not know what to do without the rest of the pack telling them.

One more note.  I write of the general incompetence and complicity of UK sports journalism. There are a number of good English sports journalists.  Unfortunately, they truly are the exception in their industry.

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FK Pobeda and the future of sport

Friday, April 17th, 2009

The time has been short, the list of cases long.

Bulgaria, China (badminton), Denmark (handball), Denmark (football), England, Germany (football), Germany (handball), Holland, Hong Kong, Malta, Malaysia, Monaco (tennis), Poland, Italy, Romania, Russia, Scotland, South Korea, Spain, Taiwan (baseball), and now, Macedonia.

Seven months, nineteen countries, five sports. This is a list of suspected scandals involving match-fixing in sport since the publication of ‘The Fix’.   To be fair, a number of these cases have not been fully investigated.  There have been some sensational headlines, a brief announcement, then the police or sporting authorities have claimed ‘there is not enough evidence to investigate them.’ Which begs the question, how do you know there is not enough evidence if you don’t investigate?

But today, there is a ray of hope.  UEFA has announced an eight-year ban on the Macedonian football club, FK Pobeda.

It is a good start.

However, there are a couple of things for football fans to watch.

One, the Macedonian club gets to appeal the sentence and if it follows the typical Italian sentencing of corruption in football, we will see these sentences much reduced. They should not be.  There is an old story about the law.  The convict is sentenced to death for stealing a horse.  He appeals to the judge, “Come on, your Lordship, I just stole a horse!”   The judge replies, “I am not hanging you for stealing a horse.  I am hanging you to stop other people from stealing horses.”

This is one of those cases where the sentence is not just about punishing the crime, it is about giving a clear, definite signal that match-fixing will not be tolerated at any level.

Two, that there is corruption in the Macedonian league comes as no surprise to anyone.  Now will UEFA have the nerve to go after bigger clubs in bigger leagues?

Three, will UEFA establish a few, very basic, defences to the sport?

Here is one example.  For those non-fans of Danish and German handball, the cases there involve referees being approached to fix games. In Germany, the referees discovered 50,000 Euro had been put in their luggage, only when going through airport security.

They bring up a question relevant to football.   What does a referee do in a case like this?  If someone approaches them to bribe a game, who do they go to?  The local football association?  They are often in on the fix.   UEFA?    Hmmmmmm…

The problem with UEFA is that it is a house with many rooms in it.  Many of those rooms have very honest, decent people in them.  But some of those rooms contain people that no referee would ever want to report a bribe attempt to.   So their new security department should be established absolutely independently of the UEFA hierarchy.  It should report directly to Platini and no one else.  Anything else, and despite the Macedonian verdict, football will be back to corruption and the list of suspected cases will keep growing.

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A Good Start

Friday, March 27th, 2009

First of all, this is excellent news.  The announcement yesterday by UEFA that they are actually holding their own judicial inquiry into a Champions League match is the best news in the battle against corruption in football for some time.  It is one of the initiatives that I have been pressing for since the publication of the book.

Does it go far enough?  No. But Michel Platini in his declaration that “match-fixing is the most serious problem facing the sport” shows that he understands exactly the nature of the problem.

Before we go any further: a declaration.  In October, at their invitation, I met with UEFA officials and discussed their proposal for a new investigation unit.  I did not accept any money from them, except for travel expenses, but at the end of the meeting, it was felt by both sides that it was too early in the process to work together.

A couple of points:

It is obvious that UEFA have picked on an obscure game from a relatively obscure league and country.  No insult to the Macedonians but the revelation that there may be fixing in Macedonia will not come as a great surprise to anyone.  However, this is, hopefully, the first case of a series of high-profile investigations.  UEFA cannot afford to fail too publicly in their first case against match-fixing.  They must choose the case that they have greatest chance of success to proceed with first.

Two, the performance of the FK Pobeda game, if it was fixed, does follow an increasingly common practice in fixing matches.  The fixers are trying to maximize profit on the gambling market.   In the book, I show some of my research into how players and referees perform fixed matches. For example, I identify a pattern of goals being scored early in the game to establish the fix.  When I began the research I thought the results would be the exact opposite: fixes would happen in the last ten minutes of the game. After all the cliché is the crooked players or referee trying frantically to score an own goal or give away a penalty in the last few minutes.  But the data indicates that for successful fixes the players and referees want to get it done quickly so will try to give away goals as early in the game as possible.

However, recently fixers have been moving towards another pattern where one team will score their goals in the first half, with the other team score their goals in the second half.  The growth of this phenomenon is because of a relatively new trend of live betting on matches, so the fixers can make money betting on both the half-time score and the full-time score.  This can increase their profit in a massive way.  Of course, this is not conclusive proof that the FK Pobeda game was fixed — only the UEFA tribunal on April 17 will be able to determine that one way or another.

Finally, if this news is “a good start”, what more can UEFA do to stop match-fixing?   I will deal with that issue in a blog posting next week.

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